Preview - 21/22 Computational Modeling Of Covid-19 Spread

Let's Add Some Social Distancing

For this page, we will start to add Social Distancing to our Model and observe what happens.

Questions

Please answer the questions below.

Set-up your Model this way:

Write a prediction about what will happen in the Model, if you:

Click on big size world

Click set-up

Click on infect-a-person 30 times

 no face masks 

Move the Density Slider to 30%, Infectiousness to 65%, chance-recover to 30%, infection-duration to 21 days, and click the social-distancing?

Write your PREDICTION.

SAQ:  Write your findings, from the graph, after running the Model for 100 ticks.  Is it the same as the beginning numbers?  What is happening?  How do you know?

Suppose we change the number of ticks to 150.  Write a hypothesis of what the results will be.  

Now run the model for 150 ticks.

Look at the graph and write your results.

What happened?  Did it match your prediction?

What will happen if you change the infection-duration in the model you designed in question 3?  Why do you think this?

Try it.

What did you find?

Run the Model with the parameters you choose. 

Be sure to write the parameters and RESULTS in the space provided.  Using the graph to understand your results, write about what your results tell us about practices during a COVID-19 pandemic.

Notes

These notes will appear on every page in this lesson so feel free to put anything here you'd like to keep track of.